MIAMI, Fla., July 9, 2026 – Lloyd Jones LLC, a vertically integrated real estate investment firm, today announced the appointment of Jimmy Carrion as President and Chief Executive Officer.

Carrion succeeds Christopher Finlay, who will transition to the role of Founder and Executive Chairman after leading the company for more than 46 years. In his new role, Carrion will oversee the continued growth and strategic direction of Lloyd Jones and its subsidiaries, including Aviva® Senior Living, while building on the vision and foundation established under Finlay’s leadership.

“Jimmy has earned the trust and respect of our team through his leadership, loyalty, and unwavering commitment to our mission,” said Christopher Finlay, Founder and Executive Chairman of Lloyd Jones. “As President and CEO, he is the right leader to guide Lloyd Jones into its next chapter of growth. I look forward to continuing to support the company as Executive Chairman by focusing on long-term strategy and helping ensure we remain well-positioned for the future.”

As Executive Chairman, Finlay will remain actively involved in shaping the company’s strategic outlook and initiatives while stepping back from day-to-day operations. He will also establish a Board of Advisors to provide guidance and strategic insight to Carrion and the executive leadership team as Lloyd Jones continues its expansion.

“This transition represents the next step in our evolution,” said Carrion. “I’m honored to lead Lloyd Jones and grateful for Chris’s confidence and mentorship. We have an exceptional team, a strong foundation, and tremendous opportunities ahead. Together, we’ll continue building on the vision that has brought us this far while expanding our platform, growing Aviva Senior Living, and delivering long-term value for our residents, partners, investors, and team members.”

As part of its continued growth strategy, Lloyd Jones has relocated its corporate headquarters from Dallas back to Miami. The move positions the company to accelerate its capital raising efforts for new senior housing opportunities, expand the Aviva® Senior Living platform, and support the company’s next phase of expansion.

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About Lloyd Jones

Lloyd Jones is a vertically integrated real estate investment firm with subsidiaries in development, construction, and senior-living operations. Operating under the same leadership for over 46 years, the company invests in high-potential multifamily and senior housing assets across the country. Headquartered back in Miami, the company has been aggressively expanding into the senior housing market with the acquisition of numerous communities over the past few years. Its senior living subsidiary, Aviva® Senior Living is a full-service senior housing management firm. For more information, visit http://www.lloydjonesllc.com.

Media Contact:
Janalyn Oronos
Lloyd Jones LLC
joronos@lloydjonesllc.com

PORT ST. LUCIE, Fla.— AVIVA, the first independent luxury senior rental community in St. Lucie West, is excited to announce its grand opening, offering a dynamic new lifestyle for active adults 55+. The community, located at 590 NW Lake Whitney Place off NW Peacock Boulevard, spans 10 acres with 203,665 square feet and includes 159 elegant one- and two-bedroom residences complemented by an array of resort-style amenities.


AVIVA will celebrate with a ribbon-cutting ceremony on December 4, officially marking its debut as a premier, all-inclusive rental community. Residents enjoy fine dining, housekeeping, utilities, high-speed fiber optic Wi-Fi and a full calendar of social events and outings as part of the rental fee starting at $4,300 per month.
AVIVA offers contemporary three-story buildings thoughtfully designed to maximize natural light and scenic views. The residences are convenient to the clubhouse, which serves as the vibrant heart of the community.


“Our community meets a growing demand from active adults looking for a low-maintenance lifestyle that fosters social connections and personal freedom. Many are thrilled by the opportunity to downsize, enjoy resort amenities and avoid the clubhouse dues and homeowner fees common in traditional single-family home communities,” said Executive Director Michele Gyscek. “Feedback has been extremely positive since we opened with people saying that this area needed a new all-inclusive luxury community geared to people 55+.”


AVIVA boasts a variety of resort-style features, including an outdoor zero-entry swimming pool with a sundeck, pickleball courts, a putting green, walking trails and a dog park. Indoor amenities include a full-service restaurant and bar, beauty salon, fitness center, health services, business center, and multipurpose rooms for activities and gatherings.


“Our residents appreciate the independence AVIVA offers,” she added. “They’re free from home maintenance and financial responsibilities like those of homeownership but enjoy access to exceptional amenities without needing assisted living services and their associated costs. Dining, social events and our on-site conveniences are very appealing. Residents want to travel, volunteer, pursue hobbies and maintain strong social connections—without the obligations of traditional homeownership.”

AVIVA’s prime location places residents close to shopping, dining, and recreation. The community is within walking distance of a Walmart Supercenter, Starbucks and popular restaurants. Publix, Staples, the USPS, and an AMC theater are less than two miles away, and residents can easily access Clover Park, the NY Mets’ spring training facility, the PGA Golf Club and the Towne Center at St. Lucie West, all nearby. Additionally, medical facilities and two airports, West Palm Beach and Vero, are conveniently
accessible.

Each residence offers a fully equipped kitchen with an island, spacious walk-in closets, upgraded cabinetry, in-unit washers and dryers, screened-in porches and 10 ft. ceilings. With hurricane-resistant windows and doors and an emergency generator, AVIVA provides comfort and security, especially during hurricanes and storms.


About AVIVA Senior Living
AVIVA Senior Living is a senior housing subsidiary of Lloyd Jones, LLC., an over 40-year owner/operator of multifamily and senior housing communities. The AVIVA portfolio spans the senior-living spectrum – from active-adult and independent living to assisted living and memory care. AVIVA offers residents a maintenance-free lifestyle, personalized services, curated activities, robust health and wellness programs and state-of-the-art amenities. For more information, please visit https://avivaportstlucie.com/ or call 772-800-5000 for a tour.

DALLAS – Lloyd Jones, a Dallas-based real estate investment firm has named Jimmy Carrion chief operating officer. Previously senior vice president of investor relations, Carrion has worked closely with chairman/CEO, Chris Finlay, since joining the firm in 2020.

Says Finlay, “Jimmy has been working as my ‘right- hand-man’ for several years now. He has been involved in every aspect of the business from investor relations, investment acquisitions and underwriting, to senior-housing asset management. He has all the right skills to lead Lloyd Jones in the oversight of our subsidiaries.”

Carrion’s 15-year career has been focused on operations and investment management, starting with the Atlanta Razorback Sports Complex of the North American Soccer League. There he served as director of operations responsible for facility budgets and financial reporting in addition to the oversight of managers and staff.

From there, he worked in the construction industry as director of sales and operations for a construction management firm.

Prior to joining Lloyd Jones, Carrion served as regional business development manager of OYO USA, the second-largest hotel chain in the world where he led a team responsible for the Asia-based firm’s expansions into the southeastern United States.

At Lloyd Jones, Carrion will continue to work closely with Finlay to oversee the operations of Lloyd Jones and its subsidiaries, with a current focus on AVIVA Senior Living, its senior housing management arm. Adds Finlay, “As a diligent asset manager, Jimmy knows our assets and our business inside out. When he visits our properties, he lives on-site. He understands the challenges the industry faces and is prepared to tackle them head on.”

Carrion is based at the Lloyd Jones Crescent Court headquarters in Uptown Dallas. He holds a bachelor’s degree in international business from Georgia State University and is fully bilingual.

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Entryway Central Florida Recognizes Investment Firm’s Commitment to Reducing Homelessness.

Dallas – Lloyd Jones LLC, a real estate investment firm based in Dallas, has been chosen Entryway Central Florida’s 2023 Philanthropy Partner of the Year. A strong supporter of Entryway (FKA Shelters to Shutters) since its inception, Lloyd Jones recognizes the value of the organization’s mission.

Entryway is a national 501(c)3 organization that transitions individuals and families at risk of or experiencing homelessness to economic self-sufficiency by providing career training, full-time employment, and housing opportunities in partnership with the real estate industry.

“Helping those facing situational homelessness gain employment and a home is a win-win for everybody. And we are especially proud of the Entryway founders and leadership for coming up with this innovative way to combat homelessness,” commented Christopher Finlay, Chairman/CEO of Lloyd Jones. To those leading the charge, we say ‘Well done. Thank you.’”

Over two-thirds of those experiencing homelessness in the U.S. are situationally homeless due to a life-altering event such as job loss, medical or health emergency, divorce, domestic abuse or the loss of a primary income earner. By partnering with the multifamily real estate industry, Entryway finds entry-level jobs and housing for those who want to work and return to a life of self-sufficiency.

Adds Finlay, “Our contributions will increase the number of people Entryway can reach, providing life-changing solutions for the situationally homeless. For every receptionist, groundskeeper, or maintenance tech we place at a multifamily community, that’s another family on the road to self-sufficiency. We are very proud to support Entryway.”

Lloyd Jones is a vertically integrated real estate investment firm with subsidiaries in investment, development, construction, and senior-living operations. Operating under the same leadership for over 40 years, the company invests in high-potential multifamily and senior housing assets across the country.

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Dallas, TX. – Entryway, a national non-profit that provides career training, employment and housing opportunities to at-risk and housing insecure individuals and families in partnership with multifamily owners and operators, today announced a $100,000 donation from Dallas-based Lloyd Jones LLC, a real estate investment, development, and management firm specializing in multifamily and senior housing.

“This investment allows us to bring our proven model to Central Texas as our 12th market launch across the country. Lloyd Jones’ commitment to be a lead investor and supporter of Entryway’s mission has allowed us to forever change the lives of families we serve in Orlando and will now also open the door for individuals and families in Central Texas,” commented David Williams, President & CEO of Entryway. “We are grateful for their recognition of the need for our program that offers both employment and housing simultaneously and puts individuals and families back on a path to economic self-sufficiency.”

Entryway sources, screens, trains and places highly motivated and capable individuals in high demand on-site jobs in partnership with 72 leading apartment owners and operators. The organization works with multiple referring partners in each of its local markets as well as nationally to identify suitable job applicants who are struggling with or at risk of homelessness. Entryway upskills program participants through online and in-person training opportunities to get them ready for full time positions in the apartment industry such as leasing, maintenance and groundskeeping. Entryway also offers participants interview skills, job coaching, financial literacy and access to 1:1 mentoring. The program changes the lives of individuals and families while providing quality, motivated employees for a rapidly growing industry in need of talent.

“Helping those facing homelessness gain employment and a home is a win-win for everybody. And we are especially proud of the Entryway founders and leadership for coming up with this innovative way to combat homelessness,” commented Stacey Hess, Controller for Lloyd Jones and longtime Entryway advocate. “To those leading the charge, we say ‘Well done. Thank you.’”

Over two-thirds of those experiencing homelessness in the U.S. are situationally homeless due to a life-altering event such as job loss, medical or health emergency, divorce, domestic abuse or the loss of a primary income earner. The contribution from Lloyd Jones will help Entryway serve more people who want to work and return to a life of self-sufficiency.

About Entryway
Entryway is a national nonprofit that transitions individuals and families from homelessness to economic self-sufficiency by providing career training, employment, and housing opportunities in partnership with the real estate industry. Entryway currently operates in 11 markets: Atlanta, Central Florida, Charleston, Denver, Houston, Nashville, National Capital Region, North Carolina, North Texas, Greater Phoenix, and Philadelphia. The Central Texas market will be the 12th market for Entryway. For more information, please visit www.entrywaytalent.org.

About Lloyd Jones LLC
Lloyd Jones is a vertically integrated real estate investment firm with subsidiaries in development, construction, and senior-living operations. Operating under the same leadership for over 40 years, the company invests in high-potential multifamily and senior housing assets across the country. Headquartered in Dallas, the company has been aggressively expanding into the senior housing market with the acquisition of numerous communities over the past few years. Its senior living subsidiary, AVIVA Senior Living is a full-service senior housing management firm. For more information, visit www.lloydjonesllc.com.

Real Estate Investment Firm To Rebrand Staunton, VA, Community as AVIVA Baldwin Park

DALLAS – Lloyd Jones, a real estate investment firm headquartered in Dallas, Texas, has announced the acquisition of Brightview Baldwin Park, a 136-unit independent living, assisted living, and memory care community in Staunton, Virginia. This marks Lloyd Jones’ first senior housing acquisition this year. The property was purchased from Brightview Senior Living and will operate under the Lloyd Jones proprietary Aviva brand as AVIVA Baldwin Park.

Originally built in 1987 and subsequently refurbished in 2003, AVIVA Baldwin Park includes two separate three-story structures on a sprawling fifteen-acre estate. The southern building houses 85 independent living units, and the northern building accommodates the remaining 51 assisted living and memory care units. Property amenities include a well-stocked library, beauty and barber shop, community fireplace, and updated fitness center. The property features an expansive courtyard where residents can enjoy an outdoor trail with picturesque views of the Blue Ridge Mountains and Shenandoah Valley.

“This is a beautiful property in a beautiful area of Virginia. We hope to continue to serve the surrounding communities with exceptional senior living. To expand the excellent reputation of Baldwin Park, we have an experienced and loving on-site team in place, backed by the full resources of both AVIVA Senior Living and Lloyd Jones,” says Christopher Finlay, Chairman and CEO of Lloyd Jones.

With a $3.1M capital renovation budget, the Lloyd Jones team plans to focus on significant upgrades to the northern building to match the recently updated southern building. The team also aims to introduce its signature technology package that includes keyless door locks, resident safety pendants, and new property camera systems to enhance the security of the residents.

The Lloyd Jones partner in this investment is SP Venture Partners, a real estate investment firm that focuses on making tax-efficient Co-GP investments alongside seasoned operating partners in multifamily and senior housing. Its founders have a proven track record of investing and managing $125 million of equity across $1.5 billion of real estate. This experience has given SP Venture Partners the ability to formulate and implement a comprehensive due diligence process on the operating partners it invests alongside. Peter Powers, co-founder of SP Venture Partners adds “My partner, Sean, and I both grew up with families that owned businesses that served seniors and have seen the increased need to provide senior housing that allows seniors to continue living fulfilling lives.”

About Lloyd Jones LLC

Lloyd Jones LLC is a real estate investment firm with 43 years in the industry under the continuous direction of Chairman/CEO, Christopher Finlay. Now based in Dallas, the firm specializes in multifamily and senior housing investment, development, and management. Investment partners include private and institutional investors and family offices around the world. To learn more about Lloyd Jones, visit www.lloydjonesllc.com.

Excerpted from Hot Topics in the Real Estate Investment World, a newsletter
by Lloyd Jones.

I’m sure you’ve read about all the impending turmoil: rate cap, floating-rate debt, and debt expirations. Foreclosures, bankruptcies. Doom and disaster.

Well, I’m here to disagree.

Let’s first discuss floating-rate debt. There’s no question that this has had a major impact. This is especially the case with value-add or turn-around strategies. What was expected to be increasing income and NOI gets stalled and doesn’t come close to matching the increase in debt service. Your property is losing money.

Now the strategy becomes survive. You have to survive until rates start to decline and rental rates start to increase. And they will. They always do.

We have seen the recent news articles mentioning several high-growth investment firms that accumulated substantial portfolios that are dealing with these issues. Many are predicting failure: giving back the key, or foreclosure, etc.

I don’t think that’s going to happen, and here’s why.

First, many of these deals involve “institutional” JV partners. These guys are very smart, have tremendous data and analytics (and capital). And they don’t like to lose money!

I think they will step up. Whether it be a capital call or a restructure of the capital stack, e.g., mezzanine or preferred equity, they will not allow their initial investment to evaporate. Needless to say, the GP’s potential profit will be substantially reduced, but they and their LP will live to see a better day and at the least recover their investment.

Now, for the GPs with retail investors (e.g., crowdfunding), there may be a different outcome. My guess is that these investors are smart and successful in their professions, but chances are they are not professional real estate investors. That’s why they invested with a GP/operator to begin with. They may take a completely different approach. After all, assume they have $25,000 or $50,000 in the investment and the GP makes a capital call for an additional $10,000 or $20,000. They may think “Why throw good money after bad?” and may decide to take the hit and move on.

That’s understandable – but a big mistake. If the GP/Sponsor has presented a plan to get through this downtown, then I would suggest it may very well make sense to provide the additional funds.

Remember, if the property goes to foreclosure, chances are you will lose 100% of your investment. If you can hang in, things always turn around.

In my 43 years in this business through numerous recessions, bank failures, etc., there’s one thing I’ve learned. If you can weather the storm, multifamily assets will almost always return in value and almost always at a new higher number.

The key is to survive the downside, and you’ll be rewarded on the recovery.

It’s a tough pill to swallow at the time, but you’ll be glad you did.

Thanks for reading. Sign up to receive the entire Hot Topics newsletter directly in your inbox.

Chris Finlay
Chairman and CEO of Lloyd Jones

Disclaimer: The thoughts offered by the author reflect solely his personal opinions and observations and not necessarily those of Lloyd Jones LLC. They are for entertainment purposes only. Nothing should be construed as investment advice. All investments involve risk.

I hope you enjoyed my take on the multifamily turmoil. It is a sample excerpt from our new Lloyd Jones Hot Topics newsletter. With each issue, we will discuss a current topic and perhaps offer a contrarian – even controversial – opinion. In the commercial real estate business for well over forty years, I’ve seen a lot and survived extreme economic environments. So perhaps I can show you a new perspective.

In addition to my hot topic, the newsletter will feature updates on the latest conditions in the various asset classes, from multifamily to senior living and hospitality. Our construction division will also pipe in with the status of the building industry.

I’d like to think we can help you navigate the real estate investment market. But remember, these are my opinions only. I am not offering investment advice.

We welcome your input, your suggestions, and your questions. Simply reply to this email.

Brookfield Asset Management has announced that it anticipates raising $150,000,000,000 this year. (Count the zeros!) That’s right. One hundred and fifty BILLION dollars. That’s beyond comprehension. How do you find $150B of deals in a two-to-three-year investment period?

According to the Wall Street Journal, the firm’s CEO recently said,

“[The current market] will lead to the best environment we’ve seen since 2009 to execute on our longstanding investment strategy for real estate.” 

I completely agree. When I look back to 2010 when we were investing exclusively in multifamily value-add, I think we acquired about one deal in every 100 that we underwrote. In hindsight, I was way too conservative. We lost many good deals by not recognizing just how good the opportunity was.  But hindsight is 20/20 – and a good teacher.

Today, the opportunity is senior housing. The rising interest rates are putting stress on good properties. That creates acquisition opportunities. I see a repeat of 2010. Senior housing will lead the way, followed by multifamily and hotels. Most office and retail will have a difficult time. Some projects can be redeveloped, but most will have to be scraped. Of course, there will be smaller niches, like medical office and research labs, but the favored asset class will be senior housing.

Now the question is “Who among the big guys is going to be the first to start the wave?” Most of those we’ve talked to are waiting until they are convinced that we have hit bottom and the recovery has started.

I disagree with that strategy. While there’s a distinct chance prices will still go lower, now is the time to capture great deals. There’s no time to delay. The great deals I’m seeing now will go fast when all that pent-up capital starts flowing. And prices will soar, just as they did with multifamily. So now is the time to act. Of course, that’s easier said than done. Only the institutions have the cash. So, the rest of us have to accept putting in more equity and bearing higher-priced debt to get some of these extraordinary deals. Smaller, private investors can partner with an experienced sponsor who has access to institutional capital.

We don’t have Brookfield’s $150 billion, but we recognize an opportunity. And it is here now.

Chris Finlay
Lloyd Jones LLC
Chairman/CEO

Disclaimer: The thoughts offered by the author reflect solely his personal opinions and observations and not necessarily those of Lloyd Jones LLC. They are for entertainment purposes only. Nothing should be construed as investment advice. All investments involve risk.

As many of you know, I love to read, so as part of this newsletter, I will share with you suggestions and reviews on my favorites. Today, it’s Beyond the Building: How To Use Innovation To Create and Grow Your Commercial Real Estate Portfolio.

I’m very proud to start with a book written by my son Rob. He was a hell-raiser as a kid but worked for me during school breaks. After college he started at Lehman Brothers in their CMBS shop in New York just as CMBS was exploding. What a great opportunity. Then on to Credit Suisse and ultimately Deutsche Bank in Charlotte.

Shortly after his move, he and his brother, Chris, (founder and managing partner of Middleburg Real Estate Partners) were playing golf with a top CMBS attorney. The big question in the industry at the time was how to get out of a CMBS loan. What was “defeasance”? Rob latched onto that idea and after consulting with the top legal and CMBS minds in the country, he founded Commercial Defeasance or “Defease with Ease.” That was almost 25 years ago. Since then, he’s founded several software companies, all real-estate related. And now he has authored his first book: Beyond the Building. How To Use Innovation To Create and Grow Your Commercial Real Estate Portfolio.

Rob’s a “data guy” and was always ahead of the pack in the value of good data to make good decisions. I think you will enjoy the book. You can find it on Amazon. By the way, it just made the WSJ best seller list.

Thank you for reading our newsletter. We hope to grow it into a very useful, helpful tool for you on your real estate journey. If you have thoughts you’d like to share, ideas you’d like to discuss, please let me know.  chrisfinlay@lloydjonesllc.com or visit http://www.lloydjonesllc.com.  I look forward to hearing from you.

To continue receiving the Hot Topics newsletter, sign up here.

Curious about crowdfunding? You are not alone. There were 6,455,080 worldwide crowdfunding campaigns last year (fundera.com). Over the past 10+ years, crowdfunding sites have proliferated, providing an excellent source of investment opportunities in a variety of asset classes.

But crowdfunding is not new. Back in 1885, the Statue of Liberty arrived in pieces in New York Harbor, but New York did not have the funds to install the statue, and U.S. Congress was unwilling. But Philadelphia, San Francisco, and Baltimore would have been happy to have it. That’s when Joseph Pulitzer, the publisher of the New York World, asked the newspaper’s readers to contribute – i.e., to crowdfund – the assembly and installation of Lady Liberty. Within five months the publication raised enough to install the statute. Three- quarters of the donations were less than one dollar. So, Lady Liberty ended up in New York Harbor thanks to the many small investors.

And what about Jeff Bezos and Amazon? Another “crowdfunding” effort. In the beginning, Bezos raised $1 million dollars through 22 individual investors, each contributing $50,000. In exchange, he gave away 20% of the company. A company that is now worth over ONE TRILLION DOLLARS. Now that was a good investment!

Today, global crowdfunding is a $10.8 billion industry, growing at approximately 45% between 2022-2030, according to Custom Market Insights (CMI.) Here in the U.S. one of the largest real estate crowdfunding firms has seen as much as $4 billion invested capital in the past ten years and over 300,000 investors.

Real estate investing through crowdfunding has become a very viable opportunity both for the “accredited investor“ and for smaller family offices. Investment units are smaller, giving non-institutional investors access to opportunities that most would not even hear about. The assets are typically institutional-quality, and investors can even participate in funds containing several such assets, thus spreading their risk.

The key to crowdfunding investment is the sponsor/operator. Real estate is a big business, so you should know who is running that business. The sponsor identifies and underwrites the investment, then creates a business plan based on the financial analysis. This analysis determines the projected returns, so the sponsor must be experienced underwriting the specific asset class, but also in operating the investment to achieve the projected outcomes.

Experience is critical, especially during up-and-down markets. Sponsors must evaluate risk – and underwrite for it. That skill comes with experience over many economic cycles. Remember, your investment is probably a five-year commitment, and the economic environment will change – sometimes drastically and abruptly – during those years. Be sure your sponsor has met those challenges previously.

Operational experience is also paramount. Management (of any asset) is not a “seat of your pants” job. It requires proven programs and procedures. We have often said that management is the most important element of an investment. The operator must have the skill to implement the business plan and meet performance expectations, again, even if the economic environment should change.

The track record is a good indicator of the sponsor expertise. Every sponsor will have a few disappointments, but the track record average should align with its projected outcomes. All investments have risks. Responsible sponsors will share that risk with their investors by putting their own capital into the investment.

These sponsor attributes are equally appliable to institutional investors and individuals participating in crowdfunding. With crowdfunding, you will find numerous platforms that offer investments submitted by individual sponsors. In other cases, sponsors will maintain their own exclusive platform with their own acquisitions. In any case, the sponsor’s reputation and experience are paramount. You are entrusting your funds to them; you want to know who will be running your business.

Good News for Senior-Housing Investment

1. “Senior Housing Occupancy Recovery: A Compelling Case for Optimism, Growth, and Renewed Purpose” (NIC)

Senior-housing demand continues to outpace supply for the ninth consecutive quarter, positioning the senior-housing market to reach/exceed pre-pandemic levels in 2024. This is a very positive sign for senior-housing investors as senior facilities continue to recover from the devastation caused by the pandemic. Occupancies are rising, and we know the demand is there as this huge generation ages.

2. ”Older adults become less frail after moving into senior housing.” (NIC)

Socialization, balanced nutrition, medication management provide a quantifiable improvement on a resident’s health per a study by the University of Chicago.

Despite an initial reluctance to entering senior housing, it appears that this kind of lifestyle can help restore a resident’s vitality and independence. This finding may help family members make caregiving decisions.

Now the fun stuff:  Books!

Billionaires’ Row
Tycoons, High Rollers, and the Epic Race To Build the World’s Most Exclusive Skyscrapers.
By Katherine Clarke

This is a great read for anyone interested in real estate development.

It’s about people, shenanigans, and inside stories in the world of ultra-high skyscrapers in New York City, the soaring spires just south of Central Park called “Billionaires’ Row.”

The book is aptly named as critics of the high-rise development are quick to point out. Hedge funder Ken Griffin set the record price for a U.S. home when he paid nearly $240 million for an apartment on Billionaires’ Row. Marketing efforts include $1 million marketing videos.

But critics also point out that the ultra-tall buildings can cast 4000-foot shadows (about three-quarters of a mile) over Central Park.

The development of these massive structures is a long, hard effort. The book talks about cranes breaking and banging into upper windows. In one instance, the tallest free-standing crane in the U.S. at 220 feet crashed and rained debris on the street below. Luckily it was during the pandemic, so the streets were relatively quiet.

Not only long and hard, it’s also an innovative effort. Entire floors of these tall, skinny buildings were designed to be vacant and open to let air pass through, keeping the building steady in the wind.

This book is a fascinating history of the “race to the sky,” full of rivalries, partnerships, competition, and politics. We think you will enjoy it.

Thank you for reading our newsletter. We hope to grow it into a very useful, helpful tool for you on your real estate journey. If you have thoughts you’d like to share, ideas you’d like to discuss, please let me know by sending an email to chrisfinlay@lloydjonesllc.com or visiting http://www.lloydjonesllc.com.

 

If there’s any good news out there, surely the experts will find it.  So, full of hope and anticipation, I recently attended two excellent national conferences.  

The first was Globe St. Multifamily Conference in Los Angeles. With its encouraging subjects like “Turning Change Into Opportunity” and “Bouncing Forward,” I was ready for the good news.

This is always a great conference because they get exceptional speakers and panelists.  But alas, no good news. The general sentiment is that we’re in  a very challenging market.  Interest rates, insurance, and taxes are all growing much faster than rents (which we all know).  Along with that are the political regulatory risks.  All in all, the great storm.  The speakers confirmed it’s very difficult to make deals work.  It seems most capital providers are looking at providing “pref equity” (the new equity) and or mezzanine debt.  All provide extra protection in the capital stack and at today’s rate, equity-type returns.

There was overwhelming sentiment that there’s going to be a reset in the near future. What kind of reset? Cap rates UP and prices DOWN.

If that’s not bad enough, a huge inventory of new multifamily  product is coming online. (700 new units per day since 2020 according to Avison Young.) With these new deliveries rent growth has slowed.  But so has new construction. Starts are down about 60% since last year. With 10-year Treasuries at 4.7% and asking cap rates at 5.0%, investment activity is very limited.

No one is expecting devastation (maybe that’s my good news), but everyone is expecting a correction that will take a few years to work through.

Of course, this will present opportunities for those with fresh capital.

With my enthusiasm dampened a bit, I was off to my next great hope, the ever-popular NIC (National Center for Senior Housing) conference in Chicago. I knew I could find some good news here, because we are seeing it in the rising occupancies in our own senior properties.  I did find some optimism here, mainly because we see the massive baby boomer market starting to reach “senior housing” age.  So, the demand is here. And there’s optimism that technology will somehow address the labor challenges we face. 

But optimism is different from good news.  As though COVID was not enough, labor costs, insurance, and interest rates are all putting pressure on the industry.  Debt markets have almost all shut down, so transaction volume is very low.  It’s especially hard to get debt for non-cash-flowing assets.  Here, too, cap rates are rising while prices are declining.

But occupancy is slowly improving, along with the labor market.  But some sellers cannot hang on, so we anticipate seeing outstanding investment opportunities for those willing to take the risk (and able to find funds to close).  As you know, I am a strong believer in this asset class.  If you can close a deal in this market, I am optimistic that you will be well rewarded in the next three to five years.  

One thing for sure is that the market demand is growing and unlike multifamily, there’s very little new supply.  

Actually, I did discover some good news. A University of Chicago study has found  that senior housing improves the lives of seniors as they adjust to a new, social, nurtured lifestyle found in a senior community. Knowing that might give families more comfort and confidence in their decision-making.

In conclusion, in my opinion we are nearing a capitalization stage, Sellers with debt coming due (whatever the asset class) are going to have to liquidate. If they can’t fund interim losses, they will have to sell, maybe even below remaining debt. There will be some extraordinary investment opportunities.

 

Recommended Books

Know What Matters by Ron Shaich

I just finished Know What Matters by Ron Shaich, founder of Panera Bread. He started with a cookie shop in Boston, then merged with Au Bon Pain, and then created Panera. Unlike many books by founders, Ron has been extremely forthright and provides great information and insights. 

 

Capital Calls and Rescue Capital by Adam Gower, Ph.D.

Adam Gower has just written a timely book called Capital Calls and Rescue Capital. Adam has weathered many cycles (as have I) and feels that this is a repeat of the “Big Short.”  Great information from a pro who’s been there before.  Full of smart info and no fluff.